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Bull markets tend to correct through sector rotations. When one leading group pulls back, others step up and break out. This one is not any different. When semiconductors took a breather last week, software stocks rallied. Breather is the correct word because the dips in semis are quick and shallow before they make new all-time highs. SMH is currently trading at 11 times its average true range from its 50-day moving average, which has never happened before. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is at 10x its ATR from its 50dma. Needless to say, both are extremely extended, and a consolidation through time or price would not be a big surprise. It is actually something that way too many are anticipating and trying to front-run but so far with little success.
It seems the market has started to differentiate between software stocks that can benefit from AI and those that are likely to get their margin squeezed. The previous week, we saw TWLO gapping up. Last week was strong for DOCN, DDOG, FTNT, CRWD, etc. The bull market remains strong, and it is expanding. We know that nothing can go up every week forever, and there will be shakeouts. They are a normal part of any cycle.
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